This tropical cyclone is expected to have a high humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.
Current storm status
This report is for advisory number 35 of tropical cyclone NOUL-15 issued at 11 May 2015 12:00 UTC (GDACS Event ID 1000162, Latest episode ID: 35, inserted at 11 May 2015 15:07 UTC ).
Current impact estimate:
Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 1.7 millionHurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 259 km/h)Vulnerability of affected countries: Medium
Impact of Extreme Wind
Cloud map. The map shows the areas affected by tropical storm strength winds (green), 58mph winds (orange) and cyclone wind strengths (red). (Source: JRC)
Affected population
Up to 1.7 million people people can be affected by wind speeds of cyclone strength or above. In addition, 110000 people people are living in coastal areas below 5m and can therefore be affected by storm surge.
Affected provinces
CountryRegion/ProvincePopulationJapanKyushu13.2 million peopleJapanOkinawa1.2 million peoplePhilippinesCagayan Valley2.3 million people
Affected cities
NameRegion/ProvinceCountryCity classPopulationNahaOkinawaJapanCity290000 people
Critical infrastructure
Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.
Nearby and affected airportsNameIATA CodeElevation (m)UsageRunway typeIFRRunway Length (ft)9BascoBSO56Civ.PavedNo4100ShimojishimaSHI16Civ.PavedYes9800HiraraMMY45Civ.PavedYes6500Kikai6Civ.PavedYes3900OkierabuOKE31Civ.PavedYes3900YoronRNJ16Civ.PavedYes3900Ie JimaIEJ75Civ.PavedNo4900Kadena ABDNA45Mil.PavedYes12100Futenma Mcas75Mil.PavedYes9000NahaOKA5Civ.PavedYes9800Palanan50Civ.UnpavedNo3200Major portsNameLOCODECountryHeianzaJPHEIJapanKin WanJPKINJapanNahaJPNAHJapanNishiharaJPNHRJapanAparriPHAPRPhilippinesBascoPhilippinesCalayanPhilippinesPort San VicentePhilippinesNakagusuku WanJapanHiraraJapanPalananPhilippinesMyako IslandJapanOkuJapanHydro-damsReservoirDam NameRiverYearKannakoKannaKannafukujigawa1993OkukubiOkukubigawa2001ZukeyamaKurashikiYonabarugawa1995
Event time line
The storm evolution is shown in the table below. Alert levels and population estimates are related to the area from a point to the next.
AdvisoryAlert colorDate (UTC)CategoryWind speedWind gustsPopulation affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)Location (lon, lat)1
03/May/2015 00:00Tropical depression47 km/h (29 mph)km/h ( mph)no people141.2, 82
03/May/2015 06:00Tropical depression47 km/h (29 mph)km/h ( mph)no people141.5, 8.43
03/May/2015 12:00Tropical depression56 km/h (35 mph)km/h ( mph)no people141.3, 94
03/May/2015 18:00Tropical storm64 km/h (40 mph)km/h ( mph)no people140.7, 9.65
04/May/2015 00:00Tropical storm64 km/h (40 mph)km/h ( mph)no people140.3, 9.76
04/May/2015 06:00Tropical storm74 km/h (46 mph)km/h ( mph)no people140, 9.87
04/May/2015 12:00Tropical storm84 km/h (52 mph)km/h ( mph)no people139.7, 9.68
04/May/2015 18:00Tropical storm93 km/h (58 mph)km/h ( mph)no people139.4, 9.69
05/May/2015 00:00Tropical storm101 km/h (63 mph)km/h ( mph)no people138.9, 9.410
05/May/2015 06:00Tropical storm101 km/h (63 mph)km/h ( mph)no people138.9, 9.511
05/May/2015 12:00Tropical storm111 km/h (69 mph)km/h ( mph)no people138.6, 9.512
05/May/2015 18:00Category 1121 km/h (75 mph)km/h ( mph)no people138.2, 9.513
06/May/2015 00:00Category 1121 km/h (75 mph)km/h ( mph)no people137.8, 9.414
06/May/2015 06:00Category 1138 km/h (86 mph)km/h ( mph)no people136.9, 9.415
06/May/2015 12:00Category 1148 km/h (92 mph)km/h ( mph)no people136.1, 9.716
06/May/2015 18:00Category 1148 km/h (92 mph)km/h ( mph)no people135.2, 1017
07/May/2015 00:00Category 2167 km/h (104 mph)km/h ( mph)no people134.2, 10.618
07/May/2015 06:00Category 2167 km/h (104 mph)km/h ( mph)no people133.1, 11.319
07/May/2015 12:00Category 3185 km/h (115 mph)km/h ( mph)no people132, 11.720
07/May/2015 18:00Category 3185 km/h (115 mph)km/h ( mph)no people131.1, 12.121
08/May/2015 00:00Category 3185 km/h (115 mph)km/h ( mph)no people130.1, 12.522
08/May/2015 06:00Category 3185 km/h (115 mph)km/h ( mph)no people129.1, 12.723
08/May/2015 12:00Category 3195 km/h (121 mph)km/h ( mph)no people128, 13.324
08/May/2015 18:00Category 3195 km/h (121 mph)km/h ( mph)no people127.1, 13.725
09/May/2015 00:00Category 2175 km/h (109 mph)km/h ( mph)no people126.1, 14.326
09/May/2015 06:00Category 3195 km/h (121 mph)km/h ( mph)no people125.2, 14.927
09/May/2015 12:00Category 4212 km/h (132 mph)km/h ( mph)1600 people124.5, 15.428
09/May/2015 18:00Category 4241 km/h (150 mph)km/h ( mph)<1000 people123.8, 16.129
10/May/2015 00:00Category 5259 km/h (161 mph)km/h ( mph)150000 people123.3, 1730
10/May/2015 06:00Category 5259 km/h (161 mph)km/h ( mph)340000 people122.6, 17.931
10/May/2015 12:00Category 4241 km/h (150 mph)km/h ( mph)140000 people122.3, 18.732
10/May/2015 18:00Category 4212 km/h (132 mph)km/h ( mph)14000 people122.3, 19.533
11/May/2015 00:00Category 3195 km/h (121 mph)km/h ( mph)no people122, 20.534
11/May/2015 06:00Category 2175 km/h (109 mph)km/h ( mph)59000 people122.6, 21.835
11/May/2015 12:00Category 1148 km/h (92 mph)km/h ( mph)1.3 million people123.5, 2335
12/May/2015 00:00Category 1121 km/h (75 mph)km/h ( mph)530000 people128.2, 26.635
12/May/2015 12:00Tropical storm101 km/h (63 mph)km/h ( mph)no people135.4, 31.535
13/May/2015 00:00Tropical storm84 km/h (52 mph)km/h ( mph)no people143.8, 37.5
No comments:
Post a Comment