Alaska Meteorology

Update time = Wed May 16 18:32:38 UTC 2012
Magnitude 4.6 - SOUTHERN ALASKA
2012 May 16 15:02:51 UTC
This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.
Magnitude 4.6
Date-Time
Wednesday, May 16, 2012 at 15:02:51 UTC
Wednesday, May 16, 2012 at 07:02:51 AM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 61.109°N, 149.918°W
Depth 59 km (36.7 miles)
Region SOUTHERN ALASKA
Distances
12 km (8 miles) SW (222°) from Anchorage, AK
26 km (16 miles) NW (325°) from Hope, AK
30 km (18 miles) S (181°) from Point MacKenzie, AK
Location Uncertainty horizontal /- 0.4 km (0.2 miles); depth /- 0.1
km (0.1 miles)
Parameters Nph= 80, Dmin=0 km, Rmss=0.52sec, Gp= 0,
M-type=local magnitude (ML), Version=2
Source
Alaska Earthquake Information Center
Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska Fairbanks
Event ID ak10472954
MAP 3.1 2012/05/16 10:29:08 60.309 -148.214 12.9 29 km ( 18 mi) NNW of
Chenega, AK
MAP 3.2 2012/05/16 08:35:24 19.143 -64.412 44.4 47 km ( 29 mi) NNW of
Settlement, British Virgin Islands
MAP 3.4 2012/05/16 06:46:53 18.532 -68.796 133.9 13 km ( 8 mi) SW of
Hig�ey, Dominican Republic
MAP 3.0 2012/05/16 05:03:39 19.000 -65.856 44.7 63 km ( 39 mi) N of Su�rez, PR
MAP 4.2 2012/05/16 03:40:27 50.442 -179.748 20.0 269 km (167 mi) SW of Adak, AK
MAP 3.3 2012/05/15 23:22:57 17.920 -68.877 46.0 58 km ( 36 mi) S of La
Romana, Dominican Republic
MAP 3.5 2012/05/15 22:18:36 51.885 -171.447 29.0 192 km (120 mi) E of Atka, AK
MAP 4.1 2012/05/15 10:19:33 40.391 -125.423 24.4 97 km ( 60 mi) W of
Petrolia, CA
MAP 3.4 2012/05/15 08:47:52 59.993 -153.214 122.4 56 km ( 35 mi) ENE
of Pedro Bay, AK
MAP 3.4 2012/05/15 07:43:55 19.256 -65.086 94.5 99 km ( 62 mi) NW of
Settlement, British Virgin Islands
MAP 3.5 2012/05/15 01:19:27 63.126 -150.874 122.6 84 km ( 52 mi) N of
Petersville, AK
flood advisory
national weather service anchorageak
1140 am akdt tue may 15 2012
flood advisory for ice jam flooding for the lower kuskokwim river
near bethel.
* until 1000 pm akdt wednesday
* water levels at bethel rose one foot between monday night and
tuesday morning and continue to rise. water is high in the bethel
small boat harbor and is starting toback up brown`s slough and
flood low lying areas.
the break up front is just upstream of bethel and the ice in bethel
is starting to shift. the bethel ice is expected to move soon. as
the ice jam shifts downstream of bethel. jams are likely and will
cause higher water.
precautionary/preparedness actions...
a flood advisory means that minor flooding is occuring in low lying
areas. residents should monitor thesituation and be aware that
water levels may increase.
ice covered. most of eastern and northern norton sound is open water.
leads have opened off the fast ice from near point lay to barrow.
forecast through saturday ... leadsoff the northwest coast will close
wednesday through saturday.
-bering sea-
pkz411 - 412 - 413 - 414 - bering sea offshore-
pkz210 - dall point to wales-
pkz200 - norton sound-
pkz185 - st matthew island waters-
pkz165 - port heiden to cape sarichef-
pkz160 - bristol bay waters cape newenham to port heiden-
pkz180 - southwest alaska waters cape newenham to dall point-
the ice edge lies from near port moller to 55. 8n 163w to 55. 6n 168w
to 55. 9n 168. 7w to 56n 171. 4wto 56. 2n 173. 2w to 56. 8n 175. 2w to
57. 2n 178. 1w to 59. 2n 178. 5eto 60n 172. 5e to 58n 170. 5e 59. 7n 167. 5e
and continues along the kamchatkacoast.
most bristol bay is ice free or open water. most of the area east of
166w and south of 60n is open water or ice free except fast ice in
kuskokwim bay and ice along the alaskan peninsula from port moller to
egegik.
the ice edge is mainly 5 to 7 tenthsnew ... young and first year thin
ice in strips.
... detailed ice edge position...
57. 3n 164w open water
57. 4n 165w open water
57. 2n 166w open water
56. 4n 167w
56. 4n 168w
56. 6n 169w
56. 8n 170w
57. 2n 171w
56. 0n 172w
57n 173w
57. 2n 174w
57. 5n 175w
57. 7n 176w
57. 6n 177w
57. 9n 178w
58. 4n 179w
50n 180
forecast through saturday ... east of 167w ... ice will continue to
diminish. warm southerly flow monday through thursday will move ice
away from the peninsula.
forecast through saturday ... 167wto 177w ... warm southerly flow will
continue through wednesday night. the ice will move 30 to 45 nm to
the north by thursday. weaker east to northeast flow thursday through
saturday will limit ice retreat. warmer temperatures ... currents and
periods of southerly swells will continue to move the ice to the
north 5 to 15 nm thursday through saturday. the net ice movement will
be to the north 40 to 65 nm.
sea ice outlook sunday through next wednesday ... weak flow underhigh
pressure will slow the ice retreat. warm temperatures and currents
will diminish ice thickness and concentration. the ice edge will move
to the north 15 to 25 nm.
forecast through saturday ... west of 177w ... warmer temperatures and
currents will retreat the ice to the north 25 to 40 nm through
saturday.
kcole 2012
... may 2012 year group and summer ice outlook...
the year group for may is 1976 as it was in april. ice data from 1976
is very limited.
ice in the bering sea this year has set new records for extent and
persistence. record data for ice thickness has not been evaluated.
many who live and work in the bering sea have remarked that the ice
is also thicker this year than in their memories.
the bering sea retreat of sea ice through the spring and summer of
2012 will likely be much faster along the coasts with ice remaining
south of the bering strait into july.
in the chukchi sea the summer ice retreat will likely occur from the
west faster than from the south. the atlantic side of the arctic has
seen far less ice than normal this winter.
sea ice should then move
off the north coast of russia from west to east and open the east
siberian sea before the chukchi seais ice free.
in the beaufort sea the ice should open in canadian waters prior to
ice retreating north of alaska. it is likely there will develop an
off shore open route to canada 3 to4 weeks earlier than the alaska
north coast is ice free.
... summer ice outlook...
event 2012 date
last ice to saint paul 25 may
bristol bay ice free 25 may
kuskokwim bay ice free 28 may
ice edge north of saint lawrence 24june
ak coast open to yukon delta 18 june
norton sound (nome to unalakleet) open 20 june
bering strait ice free 7 july
kotzebue sound ice free 21 july
kivalina ice free 15 july
point lay open 23 july
wainwright ice free 27 july
barrow ice free 30 july
ak coast ice free to canada 29 august
this outlook will be updated the second week in june.
kcole

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