---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: guy perea <guyperea1@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 28 Dec 2012 08:04:41 +0800
Subject: AG2 Tropical Report December 27 2012'
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Tropical Depression 27W Warning #10
Dec 27, 2012
Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert WTPS21
Dec 27, 2012
http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp2712.gif
and
http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/sh9413.gif
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//RMKS/1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING
NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED
WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER
ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z --- NEAR 10.0N 113.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE
TO WITHIN040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 113.5E
--- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 9.6N 110.6E MAX
SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN
WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 8.8N 107.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 14 KTS
--- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z --- 7.9N 105.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS -
020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---REMARKS:272100Z POSITION NEAR 9.9N 112.8E.TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD)
27W (WUKONG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 405 NMEAST OF HO CHI MINH CITY,
VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTSDURING THE PAST SIX HOURS.
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, TD 27W HASREGENERATED. ANIMATED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEEPCONVECTION HAS RE-BUILT OVER THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERWITH AN INCREASE IN DVORAK INTENSITY
ESTIMATES. ADDITIONALLY,RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA SUPPORTS THE 25-KNOT
INITIAL INTENSITY.MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 10
FEET. NEXTWARNINGS AT 280300Z, 280900Z, 281500Z AND 282100Z.//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN105 NM EITHER SIDE OF A
LINE FROM 9.0S 163.8E TO 12.0S 161.7EWITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFYISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE
WARNINGS ATTHIS TIME.WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25
KNOTS. METSAT IM-AGERY AT 271200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER
IS LOCATEDNEAR 9.2S 163.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 04KNOTS.2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
8.5S 163.9E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.2S 163.7E, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM
EASTOF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED
SATELLITEIMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION FLARING OVER A CONSOLIDATING
LOWLEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EVIDENT IN A 270914Z SSMIS PASS.THE
LLCC LIES BENEATH AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS, IN AN AREA OFLOW VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARDOUTFLOW ALOFT.
MULTIPLE NUMERICAL MODELS, INCLUDING GFS AND NOGAPS, FORECAST
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE INTO A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. BASED ON FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS AND
MODEL DEVELOPMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THEDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT24 HOURS IS HIGH.3. THIS ALERT WILL BE
REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY281430Z.//
--
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Guy Ralph Perea Sr President of The United States
Weatherdata1046am0426 a Discussion Group of
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USFMSC
http://www.cityfreq.com/ca/avalon/>
QUALIFY QICP
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States International Policies
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Ambassador Chevy Chase; Kevin Corcran; Jack Nickolas; Cher; Shirley Temple
Black; Liza Minnille; Ansari; Ernest Tascoe; Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act
Agent Jodie Foster; Department of Veterans Affairs Director George H.W. Bush
Title 22 USCS section 1928 (b) The e-mail
transmission may contain legally privileged information that
is intended only for the individual or entity recipient, you are hereby,
notified that any disclosure, copying, distribution, or reliance upon the
contents of this E-mail is strictly prohibited. If you have received this
E-mail transmission in error, please reply to the sender, so arrangements
can be made for proper delivery. Title 42
USCS section 192 etseq Margie Paxton Chief of Childrens Bureau
Director of The United States Department of Human Services; Defendant
Article IV General Provisions Section 2
(Supreme Law of The Land) The Constitution of The United States "Any thing
in The Constitution or Laws of any State to the Contrary Notwithstanding"
Contrary to Law (of an act or omission) illegal;
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