Thursday, November 21, 2013

UNITED NATIONS REPORT from NAS BLYND with COMSECPAC; AOCC; WBUSA November 20-21 2013

Fog Report(s)

As reported from a SHIP
(32.70N 121.90W)
Fog reported at 00 UTC 21 Nov 2013
(Shallow fog or ice fog at the station in patches, not deeper than 2m
on land or 10m at sea)
Visibility: 2000m
Fog Report(s)

As reported from STOCKTON/METROPOLITAN CA.
(37.90N 121.25W 8m)
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
Fog reported at 06 UTC 21 Nov 2013
(Fog or ice fog in patches)
Visibility: below 100m
Fog Report(s)

As reported from ROCHESTER/MUN., MN.
(43.91N 92.50W 402m)
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
Fog reported at 12 UTC 21 Nov 2013
(Fog or ice fog in patches)
Visibility: 400m
Thunderstorms Report(s)

As reported from TOPEKA/MUN., KS.
(39.06N 95.61W 269m)
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
Thunderstorm as at 12 UTC 20 Nov 2013
(Slight or moderate thunderstorm without hail)

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT
TO 50N 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC NOV 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC NOV 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC NOV 23.

.WARNINGS.

...STORM WARNING...
.FROM 30N TO 36N BETWEEN 146W AND 157W AREA OF WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 48N148W 990 MB. FRONT TO EXTEND FROM
LOW CENTER TO 45N145W TO 42N144W TO 37N148W TO 34N151W. WITHIN
120 NM E OF THE FRONT N OF 43N WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM S AND SE QUADRANTS AND 360 NM E OF
THE FRONT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 62N148W 991 MB. FRONT TO EXTEND FROM
58N138W TO 53N136W TO 47N138W TO 41N143W TO 33N145W. WITHIN 180
NM E OF THE FRONT N OF 50N WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO 22 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM E OF THE FRONT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS
10 TO 18 FT.

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW E OF AREA 42N156E 1002 MB MOVING NE 25 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N172E 988 MB. WITHIN 360 NM E AND
NE...660 NM S AND SW...AND 240 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N177W 984 MB. WITHIN 240 NM S AND SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
300 NM N...540 NM E...660 NM S...AND 240 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 25
TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 20 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 49N161W 990 MB MOVING NW 20 KT. FRONT EXTENDS FROM LOW
CENTER TO 43N159W TO 36N160W. WITHIN 660 NM E OF THE FRONT WINDS
25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 57N153W 979 MB. FRONT TO EXTEND FROM
59N152W TO 53N150W TO 50N151W. WITHIN 540 NM E OF THE FRONT AND
720 NM NW AND 540 NM E QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO
16 FT...EXCEPT IN NW QUADRANT TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 62N148W.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 56N151W 995 MB MOVING N 10 KT. WITHIN 300 NM N AND 480 NM
NE QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 660 NM E AND 480 NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9
TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 57N153W.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 45N168W 987 MB MOVING E 15 KT. WITHIN 360 NM SW AND W AND
540 NM N QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N157W 993 MB. WITHIN 300 NM S AND 360 NM
W AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N143W 1006 MB. WITHIN 300 NM W AND SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.FROM 39N TO 43N BETWEEN 124W AND 128W AREA OF N TO NE WINDS 35
TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 36N TO 45N BETWEEN
124W AND 132W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 43N BETWEEN 124W AND 130W AREA OF
N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 36N TO 42N BETWEEN 125W AND 130W AREA OF
N TO NE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 48N164E 1000 MB MOVING N 10 KT. WITHIN 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N162E 991 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N AND E OF A
LINE FROM LOW CENTER TO 51N169E TO 49N173E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 50N158E.

...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 59N162W 987 MB. WITHIN 360 NM S AND SW
AND 540 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 60N AND E OF 175W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 62N AND
E OF 175W.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW 34N179E 1008 MB MOVING SE 30 KT. WITHIN 300 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N158E 993 MB. WITHIN 540 NM S AND NE
QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 46N TO 56N
BETWEEN 146W AND 162W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 48N TO 58N BETWEEN 136W AND
152W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 42N TO 54N BETWEEN 134W AND
140W.

.HIGH 47N132W 1035 MB MOVING NE 15 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 50N126W 1038 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.HIGH 54N174E 1018 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 33N162W 1021 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 33N174E 1020 MB.

.FORECASTER ACHORN. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU NOV 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI NOV 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT NOV 23.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 06N TO 09N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N W OF 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.18 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 126W AND 134W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 124W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N BETWEEN 120W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC THU NOV 21...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS 08N84W TO 08N111W WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO
ITCZ...AND CONTINUES TO 07N128W TO BEYOND 05N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM N OF ITCZ BETWEEN 123W AND 129W.

$$

ON TUESDAY DECEMBER 03 2013 AT 1800 UTC TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND
FORECAST BRANCH (TAFB) WILL RECONFIGURE ITS HIGH SEAS FORECAST
FOR METAREA XII
AREAS TO ALIGN THEIR BOUNDARIES WITH THE AREAS OF U.S. FORECAST
RESPONSIBILITY IN AGREEMENT WITH THE WORLD METEOROLOGICAL
ORGANIZATION (WMO). THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
EASTERN PACIFIC CURRENTLY DESCRIBED AS E PACIFIC FROM EQUATOR TO
30N E OF 140W WILL BE EXPANDED TO INCLUDE AREA SOUTH OF THE
EQUATOR TO 3.4S EAST OF 120W AND BE DESCRIBED AS E PACIFIC FROM

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC NOV 21 2013.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC NOV 22 2013.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC NOV 23 2013.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.RELOCATED...DISSIPATING FRONT 30N155W 26N159W 22N162W MOVING NE
20 KT. ANOTHER FRONT...30N163W TO 27N166W TO 25N170W...MOVING E
20 KT. ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM
30N153W TO 28N158W. SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITHIN 200 NM E OF
FIRST FRONT N OF 28N.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FIRST FRONT DISSIPATED. SECOND FRONT...30N153W
27N156W 23N160W. SW WINDS DIMINISHED TO 20 KT OR LESS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT...30N147W 24N150W 20N154W.

.WEAK DISSIPATING FRONT 30N180W 26N175E MOVING SE 15 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED.

.WEAK FRONT ALONG 30N BETWEEN 175E AND 160E MOVING SE 20 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N167W TO 29N173W TO 30N180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED.

.36 HOUR FORECAST FRONT ALONG 30N BETWEEN 170E AND 160E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT ALONG 30N BETWEEN 178E AND 160E.

.HIGH 26N163E 1017 MB MOVING E 10 KT. RIDGES FROM HIGH TO
27N160E AND FROM HIGH TO 26N174E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 26N169E 1018 MB. RIDGES FROM HIGH TO
25N173W AND FROM HIGH TO 24N160E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 27N175E 1020 MB. RIDGES FROM HIGH TO
27N170W AND FROM HIGH TO 26N160E.

.HIGH 28N140W 1021MB NEARLY STATIONARY...DISSIPATING. RIDGE FROM
HIGH TO 26N150W TO 23N160W...MOVING E AND NE SLOWLY.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.
.24 HOUR FORECAST RIDGE FROM 30N140W TO 22N157W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST RIDGE FROM 30N140W TO 25N150W.

.OTHERWISE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

.SEAS ENTIRE AREA 8 FT OR LESS...THROUGH 48 HR FORECAST.

.ITCZ 07N140W 07N158W 09N172W 08N175E 05N160E. SCATTERED
MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM OF ITCZ.

$$
SECURITE

NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC NOV 21
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC NOV 22
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC NOV 23

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MELISSA NEAR 39.1N 38.5W 984 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV
21 MOVING ENE OR 065 DEG AT 28 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE
QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE
QUADRANT...420 NM SE QUADRANT...520 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 400 NM
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 31N TO 40N
BETWEEN 35W AND 48W WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL MELISSA E OF FORECAST AREA NEAR
41.5N 27.7W. FROM 38N TO 48N BETWEEN 35W AND 39W NW WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL MELISSA NEAR 42.2N 19.8W.
ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS E OF AREA.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL MELISSA NEAR 40.0N 16.5W.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL MELISSA DISSIPATED.

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 49N53W 990 MB MOVING SE 15 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN
300 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 TO 21 FT.
ELSEWHERE EXCEPT WITHIN 180 NM E QUADRANT...FROM 35N TO 54N
BETWEEN 48W AND 66W AND FROM 54N TO 63N BETWEEN 49W AND 58W
WINDS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N48W 986 MB. BETWEEN 180 NM AND 480 NM
SW QUADRANT WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM
35N TO 58N BETWEEN 40W AND 64W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 21
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N48W 984 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF THE S TIP
OF THE GREENLAND COAST S OF 60N WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 19
FT. ELSEWHERE...EXCEPT BETWEEN 240 NM AND 480 NM N
QUADRANT...FROM 35N TO 63N BETWEEN 35W AND 60W WINDS 25 TO 40
KT. SEAS 10 TO 21 FT...HIGHEST NEAR 41N47W.

...GALE WARNING...
.N OF 60N BETWEEN 35W AND THE E COAST OF GREENLAND WINDS 25 TO
35 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 66N63W 1007 MB. WITHIN 300 NM E AND S
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS N OF AREA.

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W AND NW OF A LINE FROM 59N67W
TO 65N53W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVED.
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W AND NW OF A
LINE FROM 69N54W TO 63N65W.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 48N TO 54N BETWEEN 35W AND 48W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8
TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 48N TO 57N BETWEEN 35W AND 40W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DESCRIBED IN STORM WARNING NOTED
ABOVE.

.FROM 31N TO 35N W OF 55W E TO NE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS S OF FORECAST AREA.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 48N TO 57N
BETWEEN 43W AND 53W AND FROM 40N TO 44N BETWEEN 35W AND 42W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 50N TO 55N BETWEEN 35W AND 52W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 55N TO 59N BETWEEN 39W AND 46W.

.HIGH 61N59W 1028 MB DRIFTING SE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 39N69W 1031 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 33N68W 1021 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 32N74W 1022 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 64N63W 1021 MB.

.FORECASTER LEE. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU NOV 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI NOV 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT NOV 23.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC N OF 30N BETWEEN 36W AND 40W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF A LINE FROM 31N35W TO 24N46W TO
31N52W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN PRIMARILY NW
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N E OF 38W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
FT IN PRIMARILY NW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC COLD FRONT FROM 31N43W TO 28N65W THEN STATIONARY TO
26N80W. N OF FRONT W OF 60W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO
10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N45W TO 25N60W TO 25N70W
THEN SHEAR LINE TO 27N81W. N OF FRONT AND SHEAR LINE BETWEEN 50W
AND 77W...EXCEPT N OF 29N BETWEEN 65W AND 72W...NE TO E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. N OF 29N BETWEEN 65W AND 72W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 31N40W TO 26N50W
TO 23N60W THEN SHEAR LINE TO 22N74W. N OF A LINE FROM 31N42W TO
28N50W TO 28N55W TO 31N60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT
IN NW TO N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF FRONT AND SHEAR LINE E OF 67W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED N SWELL. N OF
SHEAR LINE TO 26N BETWEEN 67W AND BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.

.ATLC FROM 08N TO 17N E OF 46W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9
FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 39W AND 43W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$

EFFECTIVE 3 DECEMBER 2013 AT 1800 UTC...THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST
AREA IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC WILL BE EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE
SMALL TRIANGULAR AREA FROM 07N48W TO THE EAST COAST BOUNDARY OF
SURINAME. THE DESCRIPTION OF THE AREA WITHIN THE FORECAST TEXT
WILL NOT CHANGE.
SECURITE

S PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 18.5S E OF 120W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU NOV 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI NOV 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT NOV 23.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ENTIRE AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
S$
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